Strong winds have the potential to cause shoreline flooding conditions today before the system exits the province. The Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry (MNRF) surge model forecast for the eastern end of Lake Erie is predicting lake levels above the critical threshold.

Lake Erie levels are forecast to peak late this morning before receding into the afternoon and evening.

The GRCA has requested that police monitor roads along the lakeshore  and implement closures as necessary, and the Haldimand County Flood Coordinator has been requested to warn residents and businesses within the affected areas.

Due to the low pressure system, cumulative rainfall totals of 20 to 30 mm may result in elevated flows in rivers and streams across the watershed.

Flows are expected to peak below warning levels throughout the watershed, although there may be some flooding in low lying areas, which are prone to flooding.

Riverbanks and trails adjacent to rivers and waterways experienced some significant damage and erosion as a result of the ice and high flows that moved through the system in February. This damage, combined with cold, fast-moving water greatly increases the risk around local waterways. Hypothermia can occur within minutes at this time of year. The public is asked to stay away and exercise caution around all water bodies at this time.

River conditions and forecasts will be monitored and updates will be issued as warranted. This Water Safety Statement will remain in effect until Friday.